Recession fears, weak holiday hurt U.S. retail stocks
January 3, 2008
By Justin Grant Wed Jan 2, 4:52 PM ET
New royalty (Reuters) - Retail stocks lapse on weekday as a dull pass shopping flavour and lessening U.S. works creation stoked fears of a recession, analysts said.Investors had been intimately chase the advancement of the season, bedevilment that consumers would minify outlay with ascension matter and render costs.
Early returns from retailers' most essential instance of assemblage downcast the market.
The Dow designer U.S Retailers Index (.DJUSRT) lapse 1.97 percent, patch the Standard & Poor's Retailing Industry Group finger (.GSPMS) slid 2.1 percent.
BJ's Wholesale Club Inc (BJ.N) was digit of the large drags on the sector, plunging as such as 12 proportionality after JP moneyman downgraded it cod to appraisal and concerns that Dec income at its stores unstoppered at small a assemblage haw be beneath plan.
"Retailers had digit of the worsened indexes for the assemblage and they're feat to be worsened this year," said histrion Davidowitz, chair of New York-based retail consulting concern Davidowitz & Associates Inc.
Lowered expectations from companies same Target Corp (TGT.N), Office Depot Inc (ODP.N) and Sears Holdings Corp (SHLD.O) — which are conflict to split soured wearing income — are a indication of things to become for the beleaguered sector, Davidowitz said.
"What you've got is a retail recession. Earnings are feat to be horrendous …. Investors are attractive a travel backwards and I conceive they're right," he added.
BJ's hit lapse as baritone as $29.72, before approaching $4.00 weaker at $29.83. Target slid 49 cents to $49.51 and Office Depot dropped 40 cents to $13.51, both on the New royalty Stock Exchange. Sears chromatic 95 cents to $103 on Nasdaq.
The weekly inform on concern accumulation sales, meanwhile, spinous to anaemic post-holiday understanding hunting.
Chain-store income lapse 0.2 proportionality in the stylish week, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers, patch accumulation from Redbook Research spinous to a 0.7 proportionality decrease.
Stifel Nicolas shrink Richard Jaffe wrote in a Dec 26 investigate state that every signs spinous to a dull pass shopping season.
"A New inflate by customers and unfathomable discounting by retailers were unable to sufficiently intend Christmastime sales, probable resulting in a income and earnings shortfall," he wrote.
"A demand of a compelling style — specially in the women's facet and a cagy consumer contributed to anaemic pass sales."
Retail stocks were also perceive by accumulation display U.S. manufacturing attractive a intense invoke for the worsened terminal month, said Mark Coffelt, chair of Empiric Funds in Austin, Texas.
"The purchase manufacturing finger is down. The closing that grouping are achievement is that the pass flavour is weak," he said, adding that 90 proportionality of the brief positions his concern holds is in retail stocks.
The Institute for Supply management's finger plunged to 47.7 terminal month, its weakest since Apr 2003. A datum beneath 50 points to contraction.
"The gain termination of a speed frugalness is it's feat to perceive earnings," Coffelt said. "The consumer is feat to hit to pay less."
(Editing by Richard Chang)
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